Managing Demand in SCM for South African SMEs - SCM Strategies and Techniques

SME Supply Chain Management in South Africa


Efficient Supply Chain Management Boost Profits for SMEs: How to manage demand in supply chain

Enhance your supply chain management by prioritising accurate demand forecasting and fostering collaboration. Utilize data analytics and market insights to make informed predictions about future demand, optimising inventory levels and distribution strategies.



Enhance your supply chain management by prioritising accurate demand forecasting and fostering collaboration. Utilize data analytics and market insights to make informed predictions about future demand, optimising inventory levels and distribution strategies.


A Guide for SMEs on Managing Demand in the Supply Chain

Understanding the intricacies of supply and demand is vital for SMEs to thrive amidst competition and fluctuating consumer preferences. By mastering the art of managing demand in the supply chain, SMEs can enhance their operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve customer satisfaction. This comprehensive guide explores the significance of demand management for SMEs, offering practical insights and strategies to streamline processes, optimize inventory levels, and foster better collaboration with suppliers. From forecasting techniques to leveraging technology solutions, SMEs can empower themselves with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate the complexities of supply chain demand, driving sustainable growth and success in the competitive marketplace.

Demand Management Considerations


Supply Chain Management is about increasing efficiency by coordinating the efforts of the various entities in the supply chain. This can result in a business gaining a competitive advantage over its competitors and improving the quality of its products, both of which can lead to increased sales and revenue. This skills programme provides a platform and tools for entrepreneurs and business managers to develop and manage supply chain management system.


How to manage demand in supply chain

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Written by: Malose Makgeta

MBA with 20+ years experience in SME development and funding. LinkedIn Profile


Demand Management - Entrepreneurship Lessons from Movies The Founder, War Dogs and Moneyball

CONTEXT

Business plan development is the process of creating a business strategy and plan to help a business implement its vision and achieve its goals over time. The primary goal of business plan development is to create a strategy for moving a business from its current state to its desired state through a series of business actions. The skills programme provides entrepreneurs and business managers with a platform and tools for business strategic planning.

Description

Demand management is a planning methodology for forecasting, planning for, and managing product and service demand. Managing demand will be a cross-functional exercise that brings the SCM practitioner closer to the end user and ensures that value for money is achieved.

Purpose

Be able to ensure that the resources required to fulfil the needs identified in the strategic plan of the department are delivered at the correct time, price and place and that the quantity and quality will satisfy those needs.

Rational

Business managers can benefit from effective demand planning by accurately forecasting product production and expected business revenue. Business can better plan its production, warehousing, and shipping schedules if it can predict and analyse when sales are likely to occur.

Key Lessons

Navigating Demand and Supply: A Tale of Three Industries

McDonald's: Fast Food, Faster Supply Chain

In the realm of fast food, McDonald's exemplifies demand and supply chain mastery. The standardized menu and efficient processes allow for a streamlined supply chain. Ingredients are sourced globally, ensuring a consistent supply, while the demand is managed through data-driven strategies. For instance, the introduction of limited-time offerings (LTOs) is a demand management tactic that keeps customers engaged while optimising the supply chain for seasonal variations.

Moneyball's Athletics: Transforming Baseball's Playbook

Baseball, a sport steeped in tradition, faced a revolution with the Oakland Athletics. Billy Beane's Moneyball strategy disrupted the industry norm, particularly in managing player demand and supply. By valuing performance metrics over traditional scouting, the A's identified undervalued players, optimising their supply of talent. This unconventional approach showcased the potential for strategic supply chain management even in the world of sports.

War Dogs' Arms Trade: Navigating a Complex Supply Chain

The arms industry, as portrayed in War Dogs, presents a unique challenge in managing demand and supply. With stringent regulations and geopolitical factors, Ephraim and David navigated a complex supply chain. Demand, in this context, is often influenced by political events and military requirements, requiring an intricate understanding of global dynamics. Strategic partnerships and risk management became crucial in ensuring a steady supply while meeting the unpredictable demands of the arms trade.

Contrasting Strategies: From Burgers to Bullets

While McDonald's optimises its supply chain for efficiency and consistency in delivering fast food, the Athletics redefined player scouting and acquisition, demonstrating the adaptability of supply chain principles across industries. War Dogs, operating in a highly regulated and unpredictable sector, showcases the importance of geopolitical awareness and strategic partnerships in managing demand and supply effectively. The key takeaway? Regardless of the industry, strategic planning, adaptability, and a keen understanding of market dynamics are paramount in navigating the complex landscape of demand and supply.

What is Demand Management in Supply Chain Management

Demand management in supply chain refers to the process of effectively managing and controlling the demand for products or services in order to optimise inventory levels, production capacity, and customer satisfaction.

Demand management, like demand planning, assists businesses in avoiding producing more goods than they can sell at the price they wish to charge. Demand planning examines consumer trends, historical sales, and seasonality data to improve a business's ability to meet customer demand in the most efficient way possible over the long term — for most businesses, up to 24 months. Demand planning is critical because it reduces excess inventory and its negative impact on cash flow while increasing profits and flexibility as a business adapts to customer demand.

It involves analysing and forecasting customer demand patterns, understanding market trends, and implementing strategies to meet the demand efficiently. Demand management aims to balance supply and demand by aligning production and distribution capabilities with customer requirements.

Key activities involved in demand management include:

Effective demand management can lead to improved customer service, reduced costs, optimised production, and enhanced overall supply chain performance.

According to research published in the Global Journal of Management and Business in 2014, demand management "provides an important bridge between the marketplace and a business's internal operations." The study also defined demand management as "the establishment of interactions between operations and marketing with the goal of understanding the market and developing actions that are in sync with business strategy, production capacity, and end-customer needs."

Modern demand management identifies and captures all potential demands, interprets them, and communicates them to the appropriate organisational departments. An assessment based on customer inquiries or booked orders is an example of external demand, whereas an internal demand assessment may calculate the raw materials required to produce a new product as well as the promotional activities required to support its launch.

Objectives of Demand Management

In today's dynamic business landscape, successful demand management teams embrace a customer-centric approach. Their primary focus revolves around the ability to predict and fulfill demand with precisely tailored products and services. The key areas of emphasis include enhanced customer service, more accurate forecasting, and cost reduction strategies.

Customer-centric demand management aims to achieve the following specific goals:

Demand Management's Objectives - The ultimate goals of demand management extend to increasing sales growth while maintaining high profit margins. This process serves as a central decision support tool for business leaders, contributing to both strategic initiatives and tactical execution.

Demand Management Activities

Activities related to demand management assist teams in learning more and creating strategies to support a more effective supply chain. Demand management assists you in coordinating capacity demands such as production time, inventory, and resources. Capacity planning is essential because it has a direct impact on cost centers. Operating expenses are impacted when demand and capacity are out of sync, so coordination is essential to achieve alignment.

Create demand management process strategies that are tailored to your organisation to begin with. Establish performance benchmarks and metrics to track demand and determine when to make adjustments. Increase the number of information sources you use so you can gather more data and make more accurate predictions. Take the time to review references like product specifications, purchase orders, and current business plans in addition to information like historical sales records.

Create a centralised database to make tracking important metrics for use across the organisation easier. It can be used to set up iterative forecasting procedures for demand. Additionally, you can stay current with significant data related to:

Best Practices for Demand Management

Promoting a demand management culture is the first step toward success in demand management. Other best practices include using reasonable time frames, forecasting accurately, and respecting process owners.

Best practices for demand management include:

Demand Management Challenges

Consumer pull is a frequent factor in demand management challenges. Customers want more, faster — many anticipate same-day deliveries and instant responses. To handle the more frequent peaks and valleys in consumer demand, business leaders must adapt.

Changing to next-generation demand management also presents the following difficulties:

McDonald's Demand Management Drive-Thru Magic: Forecasting and Efficiency

Let's step into the bustling world of McDonald's, where the art of managing demand in the supply chain takes center stage. Picture this: the aroma of freshly cooked fries, the sizzle of burgers on the grill, and a line of hungry customers that seems never-ending. McDonald's doesn't just serve fast food; it orchestrates a symphony of supply and demand. The key to their success? Meticulous demand management.

In the world of fast food, timing is everything. McDonald's mastered the art of forecasting demand with precision. Using historical sales data, customer trends, and even seasonal variations, they anticipate the ebb and flow of customer orders. But it doesn't stop there. Efficiency is the secret sauce. From the kitchen layout to the supply chain logistics, every element is fine-tuned to meet demand seamlessly.

Ever wondered why your Big Mac arrives just as you reach the drive-thru window? McDonald's leverages real-time data and technology to respond to demand dynamically. The drive-thru isn't just a convenience; it's a testament to their ability to manage demand on the fly. As queues lengthen or shorten, the supply chain adjusts in real-time to ensure customers get their orders promptly.

So, what's the impact of this meticulous demand management? Picture this: reduced waiting times, minimised food wastage, and happy customers. By aligning supply with demand seamlessly, McDonald's not only ensures a smooth operation but also enhances the overall customer experience. Efficiency isn't just a buzzword; it's the backbone of the McDonald's supply chain, and the proof is in those iconic golden arches.

Implementing Demand Management Process in Supply Chain Operations

Demand management is fundamental to supply chain management because it balances supply and demand. Modeling, forecasting, and demand planning are the first three steps that inform the fourth, supply planning.

Independent demand is determined by market conditions and has no bearing on production decisions. Independent demand can be estimated and typically follows a predictable pattern. Dependent demand, on the other hand, can be predicted and is determined by product decisions.

Demand management components - Each demand management process includes components that help to identify and prioritize customer needs. Managers develop the best plan to improve overall business performance and optimise the supply chain from end to end based on the data derived from each element.

Types of Demand Forecasting

Modeling

This component necessitates the demand planning team of the business acquiring data related to sales and demand drivers such as innovation, social media strategy, and market trends from other groups.

These data sets can then be entered into demand management and planning software or manually analysed for a variety of exercises, including:

Forecasting

Demand forecasting employs predictive analytics to forecast future demand for services or products. Demand forecasting enables reliable supply decisions based on projected future sales and revenue. Focus areas include:

Demand Planning

The process of planning production, marketing, distribution, and sales processes in accordance with forecasted demand is known as demand planning.

In order to ensure that customers are satisfied, the demand planning process forecasts product or service demand. In order to meet orders without having an excess of inventory, demand planning aims to strike a balance.

Consider the following recommendations:

There are several components to the demand planning process. Let us examine them in the context of a manufacturing business:

Demand Analysis

Demand analysis is a research process used by businesses to understand customer demand for a specific product or service. Before launching a new product or entering a new market, companies typically conduct demand analysis. It tells business managers whether they can enter a target market and make the expected profits. Assume a successful European power tool business is considering entering the North American market. Managers may use demand analysis to identify the main business areas with the highest demand.

There are four main parts of the demand analysis process:

The Oakland A's Demand Management: Strategic Player Selection:

Imagine a baseball team that defied tradition, challenging the very essence of the game. The Oakland Athletics, under the visionary leadership of Billy Beane, embarked on a quest to revolutionise not just their game strategy but also the way they managed demand and supply in their player roster.

The A's shifted the paradigm by focusing on player performance metrics that were undervalued by traditional scouting methods. Instead of relying on subjective assessments, they turned to data-driven analytics. For instance, they valued players with high on-base percentages and overlooked traditional stats like batting average. This strategic shift in demand management allowed them to identify undervalued players who were, in fact, in high demand when viewed through the lens of advanced analytics.

Billy Beane's A's mastered the art of player acquisition, akin to optimising a supply chain. Instead of engaging in bidding wars for high-profile players, they targeted undervalued talent. For instance, players like Scott Hatteberg, transformed from catcher to first baseman, became a key asset. This strategic supply chain approach allowed the A's to assemble a competitive team without breaking the bank.

The impact of the A's demand and supply chain revolution was profound. Despite operating on a limited budget, they consistently outperformed wealthier teams. Their success challenged the conventional wisdom of baseball management. The Moneyball method demonstrated that strategic demand and supply chain management, even in the realm of sports, could lead to a winning formula that defied financial constraints.

Business leaders, take a page from the A's playbook. Just as the A's strategically managed demand and optimised their supply chain to win on a budget, entrepreneurs can apply similar principles to thrive in competitive markets. Identify undervalued opportunities, embrace data-driven decision-making, and redefine the rules of the game to secure success without breaking the bank.

The Importance of Demand Management in Supply Chain

Managing demand in the supply chain is crucial for several reasons:

Overall, effective demand management ensures that supply chain operations are aligned with customer demand, leading to improved efficiency, customer satisfaction, and business performance.

Demand Management: Crucial for Supply Chain Success

Good demand management strategies can assist you in saving money, reducing workloads, providing better customer experiences, and improving workflows.

The Benefits of Demand Management in Supply Chain

Higher revenue, greater control over product availability, and the ability to respond to change without undue disruption are all benefits of demand management.

Demand management also has the following advantages:

Advantages of Demand Management

Consistently applying demand management principles results in a series of interconnected improvements. Improved forecasting, a more confident sales force, and better labor management are among the benefits.

Consistently applying demand management principles results in a series of interconnected improvements. Improved forecasting, a more confident sales force, and better labor management are among the benefits.

To have a "good" demand management process in your organisation, you must rely on accurate data. Collaborative demand forecasting is also required. This is the stage at which firms reach an agreement on the expected level, timing, mix, and location of demand, both internally and with their value chain partners. The data should serve as a foundation for other departments, such as merchandising, logistics, and budgeting. If you do all of these important things, you should enjoy the following benefits:

Disadvantages of Demand Management

The majority of demand management disadvantages occur when businesses lack systems to easily manage the process and/or suffer from poor or insufficient data, risk-averse or rigid management, and siloed teams. Businesses must remove several impediments or risk derailing the effort.

Demand management is hampered by the following factors:

How to Manage Demand in Supply Chain

Managing demand in the supply chain involves several key steps:

  1. Market research and analysis: Conduct thorough market research to understand customer preferences, behavior, and demand drivers. Analyze historical data, market trends, and customer feedback to identify patterns and make informed decisions.
  2. Demand forecasting: Utilise forecasting techniques and tools to estimate future demand levels. Consider factors such as seasonality, promotional activities, economic conditions, and customer segmentation. Collaborate with sales, marketing, and operations teams to gather inputs for accurate forecasts.
  3. Collaboration and communication: Foster collaboration within the organisation and with supply chain partners. Share demand forecasts, inventory levels, and production capacities to ensure alignment. Regularly communicate and exchange information to address potential supply-demand gaps and make necessary adjustments.
  4. Order management and fulfillment: Implement effective order management processes to ensure smooth fulfillment of customer orders. Monitor order status, track shipments, and provide real-time updates to customers. Optimise order processing time and minimise lead times to enhance customer satisfaction.
  5. Inventory management: Continuously monitor inventory levels and make adjustments based on demand fluctuations. Utilise inventory management systems to track stock levels, set reorder points, and implement just-in-time practices. Implement strategies like safety stock, vendor-managed inventory, or consignment to optimise inventory holding costs.
  6. Demand shaping: Influence customer demand through various techniques. Implement pricing strategies, promotions, discounts, or loyalty programs to encourage desired buying behavior. Leverage marketing and sales efforts to create awareness, stimulate demand, and manage customer expectations.
  7. Data analysis and continuous improvement: Regularly analyze demand data, evaluate forecasting accuracy, and identify areas for improvement. Utilise analytics tools to gain insights into demand patterns, customer preferences, and market dynamics. Continuously refine demand management strategies based on data-driven insights.

By following these steps, businesses can effectively manage demand in the supply chain, aligning their operations with customer requirements and optimising overall performance.

How Demand Management Enhances Supply Chain Efficiency: War Dogs Supply Chain Symphony

Picture this: AEY, a strategic virtuoso in the arms trade, faced the Herculean task of managing demand in a supply chain fraught with complexity. In the chaotic world of international arms dealing, AEY's prowess in navigating the delicate balance of supply and demand would prove to be a game-changer.

AEY's strategy involved a meticulous understanding of the geopolitical landscape and market demands. For instance, recognising the heightened demand for arms in certain regions due to geopolitical tensions, AEY strategically positioned the arms supply to meet this surge. This predictive prowess in anticipating demand fluctuations allowed him to stay ahead of the curve, creating a supply chain symphony that resonated with efficiency.

AEY's meticulous demand management didn't just streamline the arms supply chain; it revolutionised the industry. By effectively predicting and fulfilling demand, he not only maximised profits but also gained a competitive edge in a cutthroat market. The impact was felt globally, with AEY's strategic supply chain management elevating his business to unprecedented heights.

Entrepreneurs, take note from AEY's playbook. Managing demand in a supply chain requires more than logistics—it demands a deep understanding of market dynamics, geopolitical factors, and an uncanny ability to predict industry trends. AEY's legacy in War Dogs serves as a compelling lesson in the art and science of supply chain management, where strategic foresight can turn challenges into triumphs.

How to Optimize Demand Management in Supply Chain

Effectively managing demand in the supply chain requires businesses to focus on accurate forecasting, collaboration, and transparent communication. Leveraging advanced forecasting methods and data analytics helps organisations understand future demand patterns, optimising inventory and distribution strategies accordingly. Fostering collaboration internally and with supply chain partners enhances agility, enabling swift responses to changing demand. Prioritising effective communication and transparency ensures visibility into fluctuations, empowering businesses to adapt promptly, minimise disruptions, and optimise overall supply chain efficiency. In summary, businesses that emphasize these elements are better equipped to navigate the complexities of managing demand in the dynamic landscape of the supply chain.



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